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Republican Hypocrisy – Bruce Bartlett

http://tinyurl.com/yht5p2t

Bruce Bartlett is a former Townhall columnist who quit years ago out of frustration. He then wrote a book criticizing the Bush administration for its irresponsible spending, destructive economic policies and decisions based on politics rather than the good of the nation. Unfortunately, Bartlett’s prediction of a severe recession/depression came true. Fortunately, he has resumed writing weekly columns.

His latest column is disgusting and incites anger. Bartlett describes the hypocrisy of Republicans as they criticize Democrats for being fiscally irresponsible:

The human capacity for self-delusion never ceases to amaze me, so it shouldn't surprise me that so many Republicans seem to genuinely believe that they are the party of fiscal responsibility. Perhaps at one time they were, but those days are long gone.

This fact became blindingly obvious to me six years ago this month when a Republican president and a Republican Congress enacted the Medicare drug benefit, which former U.S. Comptroller General David Walker has called "the most fiscally irresponsible piece of legislation since the 1960s."

Recall the situation in 2003. The Bush administration was already projecting the largest deficit in American history--$475 billion in fiscal year 2004, according to the July 2003 mid-session budget review. But a big election was coming up that Bush and his party were desperately fearful of losing. So they decided to win it by buying the votes of America's seniors by giving them an expensive new program to pay for their prescription drugs.

Recall, too, that Medicare was already broke in every meaningful sense of the term. According to the 2003 Medicare trustees report, spending for Medicare was projected to rise much more rapidly than the payroll tax as the baby boomers retired. Consequently, the rational thing for Congress to do would have been to find ways of cutting its costs. Instead, Republicans voted to vastly increase them--and the federal deficit--by $395 billion between 2004 and 2013.

However, the Bush administration knew this figure was not accurate because Medicare's chief actuary, Richard Foster, had concluded, well before passage, that the more likely cost would be $534 billion. Tom Scully, a Republican political appointee at the Department of Health and Human Services, threatened to fire him if he dared to make that information public before the vote. (See this report by the HHS inspector general and this article by Foster.)

It's important to remember that the congressional budget resolution capped the projected cost of the drug benefit at $400 billion over 10 years. If there had been an official estimate from Medicare's chief actuary putting the cost at well more than that, then the legislation could have been killed by a single member in either the House or Senate by raising a point of order. Then-Senate Majority Leader Trent Lott, R-Miss., later said he regretted not doing so.

Even with a deceptively low estimate of the drug benefit's cost, there were still a few Republicans in the House of Representatives who wouldn't roll over and play dead just to buy re-election. Consequently, when the legislation came up for its final vote on Nov. 22, 2003, it was failing by 216 to 218 when the standard 15-minute time allowed for voting came to an end.

What followed was one of the most extraordinary events in congressional history. The vote was kept open for almost three hours while the House Republican leadership brought massive pressure to bear on the handful of principled Republicans who had the nerve to put country ahead of party. The leadership even froze the C-SPAN cameras so that no one outside the House chamber could see what was going on.

Among those congressmen strenuously pressed to change their vote was Nick Smith, R-Mich., who later charged that several members of Congress attempted to virtually bribe him, by promising to ensure that his son got his seat when he retired if he voted for the drug bill. One of those members, House Majority Leader Tom DeLay, R-Texas, was later admonished by the House Ethics Committee for going over the line in his efforts regarding Smith.

Eventually, the arm-twisting got three Republicans to switch their votes from nay to yea: Ernest Istook of Oklahoma, Butch Otter of Idaho and Trent Franks of Arizona. Three Democrats also switched from nay to yea and two Republicans switched from yea to nay, for a final vote of 220 to 215. In the end, only 25 Republicans voted against the budget-busting drug bill. (All but 16 Democrats voted no.)

Otter and Istook are no longer in Congress, but Franks still is, so I checked to see what he has been saying about the health legislation now being debated. Like all Republicans, he has vowed to fight it with every ounce of strength he has, citing the increase in debt as his principal concern. "I would remind my Democratic colleagues that their children, and every generation thereafter, will bear the burden caused by this bill. They will be the ones asked to pay off the incredible debt," Franks declared on Nov. 7.

Just to be clear, the Medicare drug benefit was a pure giveaway with a gross cost greater than either the House or Senate health reform bills how being considered. Together the new bills would cost roughly $900 billion over the next 10 years, while Medicare Part D will cost $1 trillion.

Moreover, there is a critical distinction--the drug benefit had no dedicated financing, no offsets and no revenue-raisers; 100% of the cost simply added to the federal budget deficit, whereas the health reform measures now being debated will be paid for with a combination of spending cuts and tax increases, adding nothing to the deficit over the next 10 years, according to the Congressional Budget Office. (See here for the Senate bill estimate and here for the House bill.)

Maybe Franks isn't the worst hypocrite I've ever come across in Washington, but he's got to be in the top 10 because he apparently thinks the unfunded drug benefit, which added $15.5 trillion (in present value terms) to our nation's indebtedness, according to Medicare's trustees, was worth sacrificing his integrity to enact into law. But legislation expanding health coverage to the uninsured--which is deficit-neutral--somehow or other adds an unacceptable debt burden to future generations. We truly live in a world only George Orwell could comprehend when our elected representatives so easily conflate one with the other.

Of course, there are good reasons conservatives oppose expanding the government, as the pending health legislation would do, even if it adds nothing to the deficit. But anyone who voted for the drug benefit, especially someone who switched his vote to make its enactment possible, has zero credibility. People like Franks ought to have the decency to keep their mouths shut forever when it comes to blaming anyone else for increasing the national debt.

Franks is not alone among Republicans for whom fiscal responsibility never consists of anything other than talk. The worst, undoubtedly, is DeLay, who actually went so far as to attack Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., last year for his principled vote against the drug benefit, one of only nine Republican senators to do so. (By my count, there are still 24 Republicans in the Senate who voted for the drug benefit, including such alleged conservatives as Jim Bunning and Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, John Cornyn of Texas, Mike Crapo of Idaho, Orrin Hatch of Utah and Jon Kyl of Arizona.)

Amazingly, leading Republicans still defend the drug benefit. Just the other day, former Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist, R-Tenn., celebrated its passage, and at a recent American Enterprise Institute forum, former House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Bill Thomas, R-Calif., berated me for criticizing it. In each case, their main argument was that it ended up costing a little less than originally projected. Somehow, I doubt that Frist or Thomas would feel the same way if their wives thought it was OK to buy a closet full of expensive new shoes just because they were on sale.

I don't mean to suggest that Democrats are any better when it comes to the deficit, although they have a better case for saying so based on the contrasting fiscal records of Bill Clinton and George W. Bush. The national debt belongs to both parties. But at least the Democrats don't go on Fox News day after day proclaiming how fiscally conservative they are, and organize tea parties to rant about deficits, without ever putting forward any plan for reducing them. Nor do they pretend that they have no responsibility whatsoever for projected deficits, at least half of which can be traced directly to Republican policies, according to Office of Management and Budget Director Peter Orszag.

It astonishes me that a party enacting anything like the drug benefit would have the chutzpah to view itself as fiscally responsible in any sense of the term. As far as I am concerned, any Republican who voted for the Medicare drug benefit has no right to criticize anything the Democrats have done in terms of adding to the national debt. Space prohibits listing all their names, but the final Senate vote can be found here and the House vote here.

Bruce Bartlett is a former Treasury Department economist and the author of Reaganomics: Supply-Side Economics in Action and Impostor: How George W. Bush Bankrupted America and Betrayed the Reagan Legacy. Bruce Bartlett's new book is: The New American Economy: The Failure of Reaganomics and a New Way Forward. He writes a weekly column for Forbes.

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Bowyer Invents “Earthers”

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Embarrassed by the “Birther” movement, Jerry Bowyer has conjured up a non-existent conspiracy with which he can accuse Democrats. He calls it the “Earther” movement. He calls them “Earthers” or “anti-birthers” and has invented a set of beliefs that these fictitious people hold.

The “earthers”, Bower writes, feel that having an international point of view is an inherent advantage. They looked down upon President Bush’s and Governor Palin’s limited travel itinerary. They believe that Barack Obama, having lived in Indonesia, would help us to bridge the gap between the Western and Muslim worlds.

Bowyer obviously disagrees with the “earthers”. He writes that they suffer from a “knowledge gap”. Jerry evidently believes that ignorance of foreign lands and governments is a good quality for an American president to have. Not only that, he thinks it’s unconstitutional.

Jerry draws this conclusion from a paragraph found in Article 2, Section 1 of the U.S. Constitution which states as follows:

“No person except a natural born citizen, or a citizen of the United States, at the time of the adoption of this Constitution, shall be eligible to the office of President; neither shall any person be eligible to that office who shall not have attained to the age of thirty five years, and been fourteen Years a resident within the United States.”

Jerry believes that the founders made these requirements precisely to avoid someone with an international point of view.

It is my contention that Jerry Bowyer is the one with the “knowledge gap”. The founders included those requirements so that the American president would be an American with an American point of view. Having and American point of view and a foreign point of view are not mutually exclusive. It’s very possible for someone to have vast knowledge of foreign policy and still be an American with an American point of view. Look at Condoleezza Rice. 

Furthermore, there is nothing in the U.S. Constitution expressed or implied that forbids someone who is well traveled and well acquainted with foreign lands and governments from being President. Whether world knowledge is a desirable quality for an official to have is determined by the voters.

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More From Kudlow

 

Lawrence Kudlow has more in common with Cujo the mad dog than just a similar sounding name. They both also lack degrees in economics. That’s evident in a recent column by Kudlow http://tinyurl.com/ybhb6hd where he continues to encourage the destructive economic policies that got us into the mess in which we now find ourselves.

He criticizes President Obama for announcing to the world to not count on the American consumer to lead the world out of recession as he encourages Americans to save more and spend less. Kudlow refers to Obama’s encouragement of Americans to save more and spend less as “limits-to-growth wisdom”. Evidently Kudlow thinks that saving more and spending less is somehow a detriment to the American economy.

It is my contention that saving less and spending more has gotten us into a hole that will take decades, maybe even generations, to climb out of. For close to three decades now, the U.S. has had a strong dollar policy. A strong dollar with low inflation sounds good, but we’ve gone overboard with this policy.

A strong dollar is good for consumers. With a strong dollar (as compared to the currencies of other countries) foreign goods are cheaper. For example, a dollar that can buy two gallons of oil is better for consumers than a dollar that can buy only one gallon of oil. This policy makes imports relatively cheaper for the American consumer. So far so good.

A strong dollar also makes American goods relatively more expensive to foreigners. Because of the exchange rate caused by a strong dollar, 10 euros buys only one pair of shoes instead of two. Thus, foreigners can afford to buy less American goods with the money they have. This hurts business. Most of our sneakers are made in other countries. The U.S. textile industry has suffered. Industries like steel, sugar, oranges, cotton, automobiles among others that have long dominated world market share have struggled over the past quarter century. There are other factors involved also, but the strong dollar policy contributes to this.

In summary, a strong dollar encourages consumers to buy foreign goods instead of domestic goods. This has contributed to the U.S. trade deficit which over the past quarter century has resulted in the U.S. going from the largest creditor nation to the largest debtor nation. We often hear about the national debt. That represents the debt of the Federal government. That’s risen outrageously over the past 28 years. But what’s also risen is private debt. We owe more to the rest of the world than any other nation. In addition to that we’ve sold off scores of businesses and properties in the U.S.

Some argue that foreign investment is good for the economy. If a foreign corporation builds a manufacturing plant in Mississippi, then it provides jobs for U.S. citizens and increases our gross domestic product. That is true. But unfortunately foreign investment over the last quarter century has replaced U.S. investment, not added to it. And what has it gotten us? Individuals, banks, businesses and governments federal, state and local are in debt up to our ying yangs. Yes, GDP had increased, but we’ve spent it away, and our net wealth has suffered. In addition to that we’ve got seemingly unfathomable liabilities for Social Security and Medicare to pay for.

Kudlow laments, “Because of the slumping dollar, U.S. import prices have jumped 10 percent at an annual rate over the past three months… This is a tax hike on consumers and businesses, and it could depress holiday sales.” Depressed holiday sales would be a good thing. Rather than buying foreign goods at Wal-Mart, consumers should be saving and using the money to either pay off their debt or invest in U.S. businesses.

We’ve always heard that consumer spending represents X% of the economy. During the brief downturn in the early 90s, President Bush asked that everyone go out and buy a car thinking it would “jump start” the economy. Again in 2001 interest rates were lowered so that consumers (that’s what we are to them) could go out and buy cars. Auto financiers were offering 0% interest rates. Then interest rates were lowered even more to encourage consumers to spend more. Low interest mortgages were offered so that people could buy houses or take home equity loans to finance consumer spending.

Borrowing from abroad can give us a temporary illusion of prosperity. That has been our policy for the past quarter century. But it can only be effective for a finite period of time. President Obama understands this. Encouraging consumers to borrow even more to spend even more to “jump start” the economy has gotten us into a big hole. It will take decades to recover from the damage that economic policy has caused. Continuing the same destructive policy, as Kudlow proposes, will only make it more difficult in the future.

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28 Years of Irresponsible Behavior

http://tinyurl.com/ykssx38
Lawrence Kudlow obtained a degree in history at the University of Rochester in 1969.  He subsequently attended Princeton University’s Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs but failed to obtain a degree.  Despite a limited education in economics, he has held positions as advisors to presidents with respect to economic policy and as an economist for Wall Street firms.  He’s part of the problem, and people like him are responsible for the mess our nation faces in the ever approaching future.

In a piece he wrote at nationalreview.com he makes some rather outrageous claims.  One is that free-market capitalism “conquered the inflation of the Carter years”.  We all know that the Fed policy under Volcker did that.  But Kudlow wouldn’t know this.  It’s taught in Economics 101, a course that Kudlow never took.

Another outrageous claim is that the prosperity of the past 25 years is a result of free-market capitalism.  Now I’m not crazy to suggest that free-market capitalism isn’t a good thing.  In fact, free-market capitalism with limited government intervention would be the best policy for the long term.  But that’s not what we’ve been experiencing.

One of the engines of our prosperity over the past 28 years has been subsidies.  That’s right.  Subsidies.  The U.S. economy has been subsidized over the past nearly three decades like nothing before in the history of the planet.  The U.S. has been subsidizing itself through various methods to give us temporary prosperity but at a very high long term cost.

First is the dollar.  The U.S. has maintained a strong dollar policy.  There’s nothing wrong with that.  A stable currency is good.  But look what it’s done.  For decades foreign countries, businesses and investors have been investing their savings in U.S. dollars and dollar dominated securities.  How do they get these dollars?  They give us stuff.  They sell to us and then keep the currency or use it to invest.

In a normal situation we use dollars to buy oil from Mexico and in turn they’d use those dollars to buy chicken from us or something else.  But instead foreign interests have been selling to us but not buying anything back from us in return.  Some might say, “It’s not our fault.”  But we have gladly gone along with this.  We have maintained a strong dollar policy for years with this intent.  The Fed can produce money, and we can use it to buy stuff giving us the appearance of prosperity.

Another thing we do is just borrow and borrow and borrow, and I’m not just talking about the Federal government’s deficit.  The Federal government has spent irresponsibly and run up a national debt that my mind is unable to fathom.  But the Fed’s low interest rate policies have also encouraged consumers (that’s what we are) to spend and spend.  Student loans, credit cards, home equity loans that are tax deductible these policies have encouraged consumers to spend and spend.  Many people were counting on selling their homes, buying less expensive retirement homes and using the huge profit as a retirement nest egg.  Now that those hopes have been dashed, the government is borrowing from foreign interests again so that it can subsidize and encourage consumers to spend even more through the cash-for-clunkers monstrosity and credits for first-time home buyers.

They want to get GDP growth back up and unemployment back down so they can be re-elected in the next election cycle.  “Consumer spending is 70% of the economy,” they say. “We’ve got to get consumers spending again.”  God forbid they should save.

Another subsidy is Social Security.  People are counting on a fat monthly Social Security benefit upon retirement so therefore they don’t save as much.  Instead they spend more.

Sooner or later the credit cards and home equity loans have to be paid back.  Sooner or later those Social Security benefits are going to have to be paid.  And what happens if all those foreign investors no longer want to hold their savings in dollars and dollar dominated securities?  The borrow-and-spend policies of the past 28 years have dug us in a hole so deep that it will take the rest of our lives to dig out of.  If it comes collapsing down on us it could mean one of the most severe economic and fiscal crises that this nation has ever faced with high inflation, high unemployment and negative economic growth.  Whoever is president at the time will get the blame despite the fact that it’s the fault of all of us.

At a minimum we’ll have these debts to pay off.  Those of us that are younger are going to be paying for the retirement of those that cause all of this.  And it’s disgusting that people like Kudrow are still endorsing the very policies that got us into this mess.

 

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